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Mining 2040: Major miners as Counting Houses (

- By: John P Sykes
Posted in: Blog, Commodities, Exploration, Media, Mining, Publications, Strategy


Last Monday, the third of four scenarios discussing the mining and exploration sector in 2040 was released on Allan Trench’s Strictly Boardroom column on This scenario, entitled “Major miners as Counting Houses” (drawing influence from the nursery rhyme “Sing a song of sixpence”) considers a profitable current industry, but one that is not committed to investing in its future and eventually falls into sharp decline. Such a current asset focused industry though is one in which major incumbents have a significant advantage and thus make good profits in the short term, before the industry goes into decline.

The previous two scenarios came out in preceding weeks and were entitled “An Industry Under Siege” (where the industry was struggling in the present and could not define its future) and “Commodities Crusades” (where the industry was profitable in the present and successfully invested in a new future). The final scenario, of the four, will be published on Monday.

The “Major miners as Counting Houses” scenario can be found on (subscribers only).